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Trump says Coronavirus crisis could last until July or August-
[reason.com]

SpikeTalon 10 Mar 16
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1

Hey Spike, with all due respect, what do you think?

I'd say by June, because once the hot and humid weather sets in, the virus might not be able to spread as easily.

2

The President always has to consider what will be effective. I have observed that he is a superb strategist, and tends to run circles around the oppositions traps. I have faith that this is part of a winning strategy in this farce.

3

I think the MEDIA will make sure it last, at least, until late October!!

2

First projection. Might be based on better data than we have. Was hoping this would be over in May as the weather warms up. Dr Amesh Adalja told Dave Rubin today (Dave Rubin Report) that when the CDC said we might be behind 2 weeks behind Italy, he agreed. So at least we have them and S. Korea as models to predict what might happen to us.

Give this a look Jurecki. Tell me what you think.

[americanthinker.com]

@TimTuolomne Thanks for posted this. I took a look and didn’t really see anything that convinced me of his argument. He raised mostly questions, but no details. I do wonder about the origins of this virus. Specifically that it came from Wohun. Also it does seem likely that nations and businesses are learning that you cannot trust the CCCP. My husband mentions that Xi Jingping is a deadman. I retort that I’m hoping it’s the Communist Party. When things first got bad in Italy, my dear friend in Rome would post about it casually. Now that her beautiful city has been quarantined she thinks of this different and it is not as a common cold. She too thinks differently of all the chinese tourists that she complained about all those many months ago. Your thoughts?

@TimTuolomne if you get a chance you should read this. [archyde.com] Professor Hanson had plenty to say about this topic. Hope you find it interesting. Beth

@Jurecki Thanks Beth, that article seems to make some good points.

The common cold is caused by the so-called “coronavirus,” and this is the 2019 version. The common cold has been regarded fairly casually by the medical establishment, and my impression is that there have been few strong studies on its epidemiology. So there may have been an opportunity for China - if they knew of its epidemiology, to promote COVID-19 as a Spanish-Flu-like threat, the next time a strong coronavirus roared through one of their bushmeat markets.

I know very little about China, except that it is a bureaucracy beyond manageable size, so local inequities are bound to dominate. However it does have a very powerful police and military, which can control any area on which it focuses, very well, for a short time. If China found itself at a bargaining disadvantage with some foreign companies which it did not care to confront directly, it might provide a screen to martially commandeer what it wants. Otherwise why draw attention to China's own health problems?

This occurs to me as the data comes in for COVID-19, that seems to be trending toward the less dangerous and more common-cold variety of bug.

At this point, the panic in the US has allowed the politicians who favor greater control to dominate the conversation, and the President has had little choice but to respond in a way that seems credibly concerned and serious about the safety of the nation. If I were in that office, my tendency would have been to say “Let's wait for reliable data before pandering to panic.” That might not have kept me in office, even if I was right.

Reports of bungled controls in a Canadian lab, of tissue samples from Europe, Chinese nationals' sudden disappearance from the lab last October, and the Wuhan doctor among the first casualties, leaving a letter claiming the virus had escaped a military virology lab in Wuhan, all remain unconfirmed, and may never be. Stories like that follow a fairly recognizable pattern typical of Soviet-style disinformation programs. Programs like that tend to work because the truth does not emerge sometimes until long after the event has piqued our curiosity, right?.

As more data comes in about the virus, I am hopeful that we can relax a bit and let the economy stabilize.

Very best regards, Tim

@TimTuolomne Hi Tim, Have been thinking about this the last couple of days and it seems the bigger issue is China, not the common cold. Was interesting to see President Trump re-label the virus the “Chinese Virus”. Reminds me of his labels in 2016 that stuck.. Maybe he is treating this as a real threat from them that he will take on. We live in interesting times. Stay safe, Beth

@Jurecki Thanks Beth. I'm sure you've now seen that Dr Li Wenliang sounded the alarm 30 December, and was forced by authorities to retract his warning as an exaggeration. He subsequently died of the virus around Feb 6 because there were no adequate protocols when he treated a patient with glaucoma who was infected.

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