How Lethal Is COVID-19?
The most accurate data on case fatalities is from the only natural experiment that exists, the Diamond Princess cruise. Why a cruise ship? Because this is a closed environment where we can accurately measure every person who gets sick and know the real number of people who perish based on that exposure.
The cruise ship data shows a fatality rate of 0.85%. All of the people that perished were over 70, which is much more like the seasonal flu. In addition, the ability of the virus to spread was again, not that impressive as only about 20% got the virus. So while this bug is nasty, it’s NOT the middle-aged killer that the media has been making it out to be.
C/P from Janice M. Colon-Mahoney
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Feel free to reply to any comment by clicking the "Reply" button.Firstly the closed experiment as you called it is not over yet as there are still numbers critical. as for all on the ship you have no way of knowing how they were all sectioned of. You seem not able to grasp time series data or exponential growth.
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